577
FXUS64 KMEG 101130
AFDMEG
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
630 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 621 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
- HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH
DAILY HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S.
- DAILY BOUTS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS RESUME FRIDAY AND CONTINUE
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
(TONIGHT THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1109 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE JUST NORTH OF THE FORECAST AREA TODAY,
ALLOWING THE CENTER OF A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE TO RECENTER ALONG
THE TX/LA BORDER. WHILE EARLIER FORECASTS PREDICTED HEAT INDICES
REACHING 105 THIS AFTERNOON, INCREASED CLOUD COVER FROM THE
AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE SHOULD DECREASE TEMPERATURES BY A DEGREE
OR TWO. THEREFORE, A HEAT ADVISORY WAS NOT ISSUED. THIS TREND
WILL LINGER INTO THURSDAY WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID
90S.
ON FRIDAY, AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION AND EJECT A WEAK COLD FRONT INTO THE MID-SOUTH. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THIS FEATURE. POOR UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT WILL NEGATE SEVERE WEATHER PROBABILITIES IN THE REGION.
INSTEAD, EXPECT TYPICAL SUMMERTIME STORMS THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A
WET AND UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS OVER THE AREA. BOUTS OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE ANTICIPATED EACH DAY WITH RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH
SUNDAY AROUND 1.5 INCHES.
THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED AS YET ANOTHER
FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES THE REGION. INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
RAIN CHANCES WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON HIGHS TO DECREASE TO THE LOW
AND MID 80S BY TUESDAY. LONG RANGE GUIDANCE PLACES SLIGHTLY
BETTER SHEAR OVER THE MID-SOUTH ON WEDNESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVES OVER THE REGION. THIS MAY BE OUR NEXT SHOT AT
ORGANIZED STORMS, BUT IT REMAINS TOO EARLY TO TELL SPECIFICS.
ANS
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 621 AM CDT WED JUN 10 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE. S/SW WINDS
WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 KTS THROUGH THE DAYTIME, FALLING TO
AROUND 5 TO 10 KTS OVERNIGHT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1109 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA THROUGH MONDAY, FURTHER MITIGATING FIRE RISK. EVEN AS HIGH
HEAT RETURNS MID-WEEK, ELEVATED HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL PREVENT
SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
PUBLIC FORECAST...ANS
AVIATION...CMA
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